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Markets to Watch: Top Markets at Risk of Home Price Decline
Logic July 1984
While home price changes on the local level vary, January gains across all of the top 10 metros surpassed their 2020 levels. However, metro areas where affordability constraints are prevalent continue to persist as prices rise. For instance, in January, home prices in San Diego increased 11% year over year and are forecasted to increase an additional 9.6% over the next 12 months.
Conversely, The HPI Forecast also reveals the continued disparity in home price growth across metros. In markets like Houston, which was hit hard by the collapse of the oil industry and the recent hurricane season, home prices are expected to decline 0.7% by January 2022.
Logic July 19
The CoreLogic Market Risk Indicator (MRI), a monthly update of the overall health of housing markets across the country, predicts that metros such Beaumont-Port Arthur, Texas, are at the greatest risk (50-70%) of a decline in home prices over the next 12 months, while Miami; Las Vegas, Nevada; Corpus Christi, Texas; and Lake Charles, Louisiana are at moderate risk (less than 50% chance) of a decrease.
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